1:00 pm
Friday 25 December 2020
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I wrote – Hind Khalifa
While the government stressed the application of precautionary measures to confront the emerging corona virus, and face laxity and violating these measures with utmost firmness, many conversations circulated about Egypt’s reaching its peak, especially after the Ministry of Health and Population registered 1021 cases of infection and 51 deaths yesterday, during the recent period it was noticed. Infection numbers doubled.
What is the climax?
Dr. Ahmed Shawki, a member of the Scientific Committee to Combat Coronavirus at the Ministry of Health, said in an interview published by Masrawy, that the peak is the lack of capacity for hospitals to deal with cases of infection, whether it is care or internal departments, as well as an increase in the number of infections throughout the week. With a significant increase in the number of deaths.
The second wave peak scenario
For his part, Dr. Islam Annan, professor of health economics and epidemiology, confirms that we have already reached the peak of the epidemic since the second half of December, indicating that this peak will continue until the end of next January.
Annan added to “Masrawy” that the casualty curve after January will flatten as it did with the first wave, as the injuries will not increase the current increase, and since May this curve will be broken to become non-existent.
And about the peak of that wave of the epidemic shows that the peak is a statistical term, while the wave is the height of the curve to take the shape of a bell, its end is the peak, while before entering its first point the beginning of the peak is, until we get the highest point, and after that the number of infections decreases again , Indicating that this is the movement the curve was in during the first wave of the virus.
Annan stressed that there is a significant impact of wearing masks on the end of that wave, as adopting 50% effective masks prevents between 17 to 45% of deaths for a period of two months, if 80% of citizens wear them.
Prescription to avoid the climax phase
In order for us to pass this peak safely without further injuries and deaths, Annan puts this prescription for us:
Wearing a high-quality medical mask.
Avoid being in closed and crowded places, and if we are forced to do so, we must wear a mask.
Touching anything with the left hand while keeping the right hand clean, to touch the face when necessary.
Refrain from shaking hands with others.
Wearing the muzzle in open places during that period, especially since the numbers of observers are few.
Avoid touching the surface of the surface with the hand except after cleaning and disinfection, as winter will make the virus live longer on the surface.
Avoid gatherings of more than 6 people, even if it is in an open area.
– Commit to wearing a good medical mask during transportation, and if you touch anything, you must wash your hands for 30 seconds before touching the face.
Avoid shaking hands with any family member when entering the house until you wash, to protect family members from the risk of infection.
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