Moldova. 2020 presidential election. Igor Dodon and Maia Sandu the favorites

– The traditional topic of the elections in Moldova is geopolitics, and this time it was also impossible to avoid. There are two dominant political options and two candidates – the informal socialist leader Igor Dodon, who represents the pro-Russian option, and Maia Sandu, the former prime minister, leader of the Action and Solidarity Party, which is the face of the pro-Western option, said Całus. – They will most likely face each other for the second time in the second round of elections – he added.

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Dodon is perceived as a pro-Russian politician, with Całus stressing that his alliance with Russia is situational. – It is primarily self-oriented. This is not an ideological pro-Russian patriot who wants to implement the vision of the Russian world in Moldova, the expert pointed out.

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– The former prime minister Maia Sandu is a different case. It represents the pro-Western option, and is also known and well perceived in the West, he stressed.

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Maia Sandu oraz Igor DodonEPA / DUMITRU DORU

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“Preplay for the parliamentary elections”

The analyst emphasized that due to the very limited prerogatives of the president in the Moldovan political system, the current election is primarily important as a “prelude to the parliamentary elections”.

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– The president is visible, so he can become a locomotive or a crutch for his group. In other words, if Dodon wins, it will strengthen the socialists, if Sandu wins, her party will benefit from it – explained Kamil Całus.

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This is important because Moldova is likely to face early parliamentary elections next year. – The current coalition of socialists and democrats does not have a stable majority. There are also a number of other factors resulting from the turbulences on the Moldovan political scene in recent months, the expert explains.

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Coronavirus and the economy

The Moldovan economy is struggling with problems exacerbated by the COVID-19 epidemic. – GDP (Gross Domestic Product – ed.) In the first half of the year fell by 7 percent, exports collapsed. The government is currently fighting for funding from the IMF (International Monetary Fund – ed.) And the EU, which are traditionally a condition for the closure of the Moldovan budget, stressed Calus.

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Over 27,000 people have contracted the coronavirus in Moldova per million inhabitants. The mortality statistics are terrible. According to data from Thursday, in Moldova, a total of 1,729 deaths have been recorded in Moldova since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic, which is three times less than the total in Poland. The population is fifteen times smaller than in Poland.

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– The epidemic situation in Moldova is very bad, but this issue will not have such a strong impact on the course of the elections – the analyst assessed. As he added, “the specificity of this country lies in the fact that it lives in a state of permanent crisis and the society is accustomed to this state.” – Of course, the pandemic has hit the economy, but Moldovans are used to frequent economic shocks – he pointed out.

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Presidential elections in MoldovaEPA / DUMITRU DORU

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