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As you can see, North Korea’s successive provocations jeopardized the September 19 military deal for the first time in four years.
Let’s take a look at the North Korean goal and the Korean government’s concerns, with journalist Um Ji-in.
There is no way that North Korea did not know it would be a violation of the September 19 military agreement if North Korea had launched a multiple rocket launcher at the point where it was launched.
So now the September 19 deal doesn’t make sense, shouldn’t it be considered that North Korea is planning to break it?
◀ reporter ▶
This isn’t the first time North Korea has violated the September 19 military deal.
In 2019, coastal artillery was fired on Changlin Island in the West Sea and the following year a North Korean bullet flew into the DMZ guard post GP.
However, North Korea’s simultaneous military action for the second day since last night was directed directly to the September 19 inter-Korean military agreement, which can be summarized as follows.
There are, however, subtle points to watch out for.
First, if you look at the artillery fire, they fired from outside the buffer zone and fired the shells into the buffer zone.
The military plane approached the nose of the no-fly zone to increase the tension, but the line was not crossed.
It is clear that the warning of the resolution of the military agreement is clear, but it appears to be a highly calculated armed demonstration that is trying to predict the ROK-US response that will not put an end to the unilateral resolution yet.
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Regardless of whether or not they intend to break the deal, it seems true that North Korea’s provocations continue and get worse and worse.
In the end, it’s a procedure that leads to a nuclear test, right?
◀ reporter ▶
Our military is known to have outdoor training planned for next week, and some US forces are also participating.
Considering the recent set of circumstances, it is very likely that North Korea will again use this excuse to launch missiles or conduct counter-response exercises.
North Korea assumes it has tactical nuclear weapons and continues to test the missiles that launch them.
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That’s right, it will be installed on ballistic missiles and cruise missiles.
◀ reporter ▶
The government also believes that testing the performance of tactical nuclear weapons, which has reduced the nuclear warhead, is inevitable.
At the Punggye-ri nuclear test site, two tunnels have already been excavated in section 3 south, which has already been restored, and restoration work is underway in section 4 west.
Although there are many prospects that North Korea will do so at the cost of friction with China during the Chinese party congress to announce the third term of President Xi Jinping, the tactical nuclear test, requested at least three times, appears to be a matter of timing in the current conflict phase.
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Even in our political circles there is talk of the usefulness of the September 19 agreement if North Korea also carries out its seventh nuclear test.
However, would breaking the deal and running into a strong river a card to discourage North Korea?
◀ reporter ▶
North Korea is not defending him outright, so what are you doing to protect him?
Likewise, some extreme arguments in passports for us to carry nuclear weapons, balance them, and redistribute tactical nuclear weapons are in the same vein.
The president’s office said that maintaining the September 19 military agreement depends on North Korea’s attitude.
If we break the inter-Korean deal first, it will be difficult to push because we could lose the justification of the pressure to denuclearize North Korea.
[신범철/국방부 차관(YTN 라디오 ‘뉴스킹 박지훈입니다’)]
“By current standards, we are trying to keep asking North Korea to increase effectiveness, rather than abolish it (September 19 military deal).”
In the vicious circle of missile launches and counter-training, until shortly before the breaking of the inter-Korean agreement, a confrontation continues with no way out.
It was dialogue and diplomacy, not strong and competitive measures, that resolved the sudden crisis that President Kim Jong-un and former US President Trump had discussed about the nuclear button.
The government needs to think of a solution to attract North Korea into a larger framework.
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Reporter Um Ji-in, I heard you right.
Video editing: Kim Hyunguk
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