A 2G system can halve the number of infections in locations where a ticket is required compared to 3G. This is apparent from a calculation that the Outbreak Management Team (OMT) sent to the cabinet. According to the experts themselves, there are still ‘major uncertainties’. Maintenance must be optimal.
With a 2G system, only people who have been cured or vaccinated will receive a valid QR code for access. With 3G, unvaccinated people with a negative test are also allowed to enter.
The number of hospital admissions as a result of the infections at locations where an admission ticket is required is 2G about 82 percent lower than with 3G. A system where everyone has to prove that they have a negative test result (1G) reduces both the number of infections and the number of hospital admissions by 35 percent.
A system works best in which only vaccinated or cured people are admitted with a negative test result. This reduces the number of infections by 79 percent and results in 93 percent fewer hospital admissions compared to the current 3G system.
uncertainties
The results of the calculations do depend on how well the vaccine offers protection and how precise the test result is. The OMT also emphasizes that the results of the calculations “must be seen as the maximum that can be achieved, because it is assumed that follow-up, control and enforcement are optimal”.
If the test result is more reliable (a test sensitivity of more than 69 percent), the ‘test everyone’ system works better than 2G when it comes to preventing infections. Only when the test sensitivity is more than 88 percent does 1G work better than 2G in the prevention of hospital admissions.
The experts further emphasize that the corona pass is in any case only a means “to limit risks when sectors are opened and not a measure to prevent virus spread and fight an epidemic”. According to the OMT, this is only possible through the basic rules and general corona measures.
Entrepreneurs especially want clarity
Entrepreneurs do not agree on whether a 2G system should be introduced, says chairman of MKB-Nederland Jacco Vonhof in Goedemorgen Nederland on NPO 1. “There are entrepreneurs who say: everything is better than a complete lockdown, if that is possible. next step. There are also entrepreneurs who say: how am I going to do that at the door? Should I refuse people?”
“I think most entrepreneurs say: we just want to open, because we want to make sales. And they want to do that in a healthy way,” says Vonhof. He argues in any case for “decent” compensation for “every measure that affects entrepreneurs in their survival and turnover”.
He also believes it is important that it is clear what is required of entrepreneurs. “This bill has been assessed by the Council of State, which says that the bill does not regulate, for example, when there is a high-risk environment. They even say that it is unclear exactly when 2G will become possible and what is expected of entrepreneurs.”
According to Vonhof, it is important that The Hague communicates measures well with entrepreneurs. “How do you see that then? What do you expect from entrepreneurs and what are the consequences? I think that’s important,” said Vonhof.
Bill 2G to Parliament
The bill for a 2G system has been completed. Caretaker minister Hugo de Jonge sent the bill in which the 2Gsystem will be laid down Monday evening to the Chamber. The cabinet wants to make it possible to introduce 2G policy for the catering industry, events, culture and non-essential services, such as amusement parks and zoos.
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By: Peter Visser
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