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2024 legislative elections in France: uncover the primary polls and first estimates on La Libre

A number of hours earlier than the tip of the election marketing campaign on Friday at midnight and the beginning of a reserve interval, a number of polls appeared to indicate a tightening between the three blocs: the RN and its allies, the left-wing alliance New Common Entrance (NFP) and the Macronists. The RN and its allies would thus receive a relative majority: 200 to 230 seats based on Elabe, 205 to 230 for OpinionWay, 175 to 205 for Ipsos, 170 to 210 for Ifop, 185 to 215 for Harris Interactive, a spectacular development in comparison with the 88 outgoing RN deputies however inadequate to succeed in absolutely the majority alone (289 deputies).

La Libre is ready to present “exit polls” carried out by institutes:

1) based on Ipsos Talan for France Télévision at 7:05 p.m.:

-RN and allies: 130 to 160 seats

-New Common Entrance: 175 to 215

– General: 150 to 170

– LR and Miscellaneous Proper: 68 to 74

2) based on Opinionway for CNews:

-RN and allies: 130 to 160 seats

-New Common Entrance: 180 to 210

– General: 160 to 180

– LR and Miscellaneous Proper: 40 to 50

Earlier polls, launched later within the night, gave the next outcomes, which have been very totally different:

  • Nationwide Rally (RN): 200
  • The New Common Entrance (NFP): 170
  • Ensemble : 140
  • The Republicans – Miscellaneous proper: 60

As typical, we waited till we had severe research earlier than informing our readers.

As typical, many French individuals will seek the advice of our data because the legislation prohibits French media from publishing polls and outcomes earlier than 8 p.m. The Belgian media, nevertheless, wouldn’t have to respect this laws.

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