Posted on Sunday, May 31, 2020 at 7:32 a.m.
Every day we publish on our site, with the data provided by Sciensano, the table and the map of the cumulative cases of coronavirus in each commune of the Kingdom since the beginning of the epidemic. But while Belgium has started phase 1B of its gradual deconfinement for almost 3 weeks, we are today taking stock of the new cases detected in each municipality since that date, namely May 11, in order to see where the Covid -19 has been circulating the most since the stores reopened.
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Since May 11, date of the start of phase 1B of the deconfinement in Belgium and the reopening of the stores, we detected 4,737 new cases of Covid-19 (up to and including May 29), while Belgium at the time of this writing has 58,186 official cases since the start of the coronavirus epidemic. The reopening of the stores was an important step in the deconfinement of the country and it was apprehended with a certain fear.
A phase which, in the end, went well, as all observers agree. But if the number of new contaminations is in constant decrease, even since the beginning of the deconfinement (May 4), and that all the figures are green, that does not mean that the Covid-19 does not circulate at all any more on our premises .
New cases: one of the indicators to follow
The new confirmed cases remain one of the indicators used to monitor the evolution of the epidemic (with new hospitalizations, the occupation of intensive care units, absenteeism at work, deaths, etc.).
On these 4737 new official cases since May 11, there are no location data for 144 of them. All the others can be found in our two new commune by commune maps below, which allow us to see where the virus is circulating the most since the reopening of stores.
A few words of explanation: the first graph highlights the number of new cases in each municipality since May 11, up to and including May 29. This is raw data. The second graph shows exactly the same figures as the first, but it shows the municipalities where the virus circulates the most, that is to say where there are the most new cases proportionally since the start of this phase 1B.
Sint-Laureins, Oud-Turnhout, Beauraing, Ouffet, Waimes…
Thus, in the first graph, we observe that it is in Antwerp, Mouscron, Ostende, Charleroi, Namur, Bruges and Brussels that the most cases have been detected since May 11. But we note in the second graph that it is notably in the municipalities of Sint-Laureins (Saint-Laurent), Oud-Turnhout (Vieux-Turnhout), Koekelare, Beauraing, Ouffet or Waimes that the number of new cases was the higher in proportion to the total number of cases recorded in these municipalities since the start of the epidemic.
Thus, if we take for example the commune of Beauraing, a third (33.3%) of the positive cases detected to date have been since the start of this phase 1B last May 11 (9 cases out of a total of 27). Whereas in Antwerp, where the most positive cases have been recorded since that date, the 265 cases thus correspond to only 11.02% of the total of the municipality (2404 to 29 May). And if we look at Sint-Laureins (Saint-Laurent), we have counted 9 new cases of coronavirus since the reopening of stores. This may not seem like much, but it still represents 52.94% of the total of the town since the start of the epidemic (17 cases in all on its land)!
Another example in the province of Antwerp, in Oud-Turnhout (Vieux-Turnhout): 45 new cases officially detected since May 11, out of the 103 cases in the municipality since the start of the epidemic (which corresponds to 43, 69% of the total).
We can therefore observe on this map the municipalities and regions where the virus circulates a little more than elsewhere …
On the way to Phase 3
However, it should be noted that we are testing much more now than at the start of the epidemic, but that the number of cases detected is still lower than the reality of the number of people carrying the virus in Belgium.
Important data, followed closely by experts, while the country continues to be confused. Phase 3 of the progressive deconfinement plan is normally being prepared for June 8, with the subjects on the table being the catering, the next vacations, etc. A National Security Council is also scheduled for Wednesday, June 3 to finalize the terms.
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