Joe Biden has a good streak and the polls are very favorable to him. Not only does it widen the gap nationally, but it has a head start in most hub states.
When Democratic strategists look at the map of the United States in light of the most recent data, they can look at gains in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arizona. If victories in these states would allow Biden to enter 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue as president, he aims for an even more convincing victory.
Several polls already give him very real chances to get ahead of Donald Trump in North Carolina and Florida. If such a scenario materializes, Joe Biden would enjoy a strong mandate with victories in all regions of the country. As he is expected to overtake the outgoing president for the popular vote, the Democratic candidate would achieve a clear victory.
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However, the former vice president is said to have even more ambitious intentions. Looking at the map above, you will see that states like Texas, Georgia, Ohio and Iowa are colored in pale pink. These states would therefore still lean towards the republican camp, but the gap would have narrowed. Joe Biden would consider deploying more resources there to tip them over. If he succeeded, his victory would be overwhelming.
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The scenario of a historic victory is enough to make Democrats and all those who want a clean break with the four years of Trump’s presidency dream. But these very ambitious projections also involve a good deal of risk.
I believe Democrats should first focus on the states where Donald Trump narrowly won in 2016 to surprise Hillary Clinton. Maintaining or increasing advances in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania requires considerable financial and human resources. Reducing the workforce to relocate them is a very risky bet.
If the Democratic Party wants to invest more, it should do so on the Senate side. The polls mentioned above also point to a real chance to regain control of this House. The 2020 election may well offer Democrats a rare opportunity to win the presidency, the House of Representatives and the Senate. It seems wiser to concentrate all the resources to materialize this possibility.
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